Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000938 1.076363e-03 0.001215 0.001365 0.001521 0.001678 0.001849
2026-01-04 0.000728 9.262695e-04 0.001133 0.001361 0.001605 0.001856 0.002132
2026-01-11 0.000553 7.916408e-04 0.001050 0.001343 0.001662 0.001996 0.002368
2026-01-18 0.000414 6.806591e-04 0.000980 0.001329 0.001717 0.002128 0.002591
2026-01-25 0.000272 5.475551e-04 0.000873 0.001265 0.001709 0.002187 0.002730
2026-02-01 0.000178 4.572746e-04 0.000807 0.001240 0.001739 0.002281 0.002904
2026-02-08 0.000116 3.958348e-04 0.000769 0.001242 0.001795 0.002402 0.003103
2026-02-15 0.000071 3.487492e-04 0.000743 0.001254 0.001861 0.002531 0.003309
2026-02-22 0.000040 3.137873e-04 0.000728 0.001279 0.001937 0.002669 0.003524
2026-03-01 0.000011 2.636201e-04 0.000689 0.001268 0.001971 0.002758 0.003682
2026-03-08 NaN 2.074934e-04 0.000634 0.001236 0.001976 0.002813 0.003799
2026-03-15 NaN 1.782085e-04 0.000615 0.001246 0.002030 0.002921 0.003974
2026-03-22 NaN 1.201236e-04 0.000554 0.001214 0.002051 0.003011 0.004153
2026-03-29 NaN 8.289601e-05 0.000519 0.001216 0.002113 0.003150 0.004390
2026-04-05 NaN 4.687879e-05 0.000475 0.001202 0.002154 0.003265 0.004600
2026-04-12 NaN 2.055270e-05 0.000435 0.001191 0.002199 0.003383 0.004812
2026-04-19 NaN 2.372988e-08 0.000365 0.001131 0.002179 0.003424 0.004935
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000323 0.001107 0.002202 0.003514 0.005113
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000299 0.001110 0.002257 0.003640 0.005332
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000284 0.001122 0.002325 0.003781 0.005566
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000275 0.001146 0.002406 0.003936 0.005815
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000248 0.001136 0.002442 0.004036 0.006000
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000212 0.001105 0.002447 0.004098 0.006140